Wednesday, October 6, 2010

Homework 5 Assignment 1 b)

I would like to do my project on the future of virtual and online education.

I am about 75% sure of doing this as my topic; however, if a more interesting topic arises i'm likely to switch :D

Homework 5 Assignment 1 a)

From the 'Last Lecture' the thing that stuck out the most about this guy,  and his last lecture was his ability to take real specific and nearly impossible dreams, and regardless of the outcome (whether he achieves said dream or not) he always had a positive experience from the challenge of trying to achieve that dream. I know for myself that seems to be the biggest struggle I face from day to day. Taking positive experiences from negative outcomes. This movie really helped me understand the importance of this, because all-in-all when I able to realize my death I want to handle it exactly like he does.

Thursday, September 23, 2010

Homework 4 Assignment 4

a. I am going to invest in same sex marriages in california before 2011
b. $ 3.40 per contract
c. I will be purchasing 150 contracts
d. $510
e. 1,000 -501=490

a. I am gonna invest in A new case of Mad Cow Disease (BSE) to be detected in the United Kingdom on/before 31 Dec 2010
b. $1 per contract
c. I will purchas 490 contracts
d. $490
e. 0 dollars remains




Homework 4 Assignment 3

too low: 

A new case of Mad Cow Disease (BSE) to be detected in the United Kingdom on/before 31 Dec 2010
Bird Flu (H5N1) to be confirmed in the USA before midnight ET on 30 Sep 2010

Howard Stern to sign a new contract with Sirius XM Radio before midnight ET 31 Dec 2010
Any Cat 3 (or higher) storm to make first US landfall in Florida

California marijuana legalization initiative to be passed in Nov 2010 ballot
Same sex marriages to resume in California before midnight ET 30 Jun 2011

Homework 4 Assignment 2

Sarah Palin to be republican presidential nominee in 2012
Iphone 4 to be completely recalled before september 30, 2010


A new case of Mad Cow Disease (BSE) to be detected in the United Kingdom on/before 31 Dec 2010
Bird Flu (H5N1) to be confirmed in the USA before midnight ET on 30 Sep 2010
Notre Dame to be invited before midnight ET 31 Dec 2010 to join Big 10 Conference
Howard Stern to sign a new contract with Sirius XM Radio before midnight ET 31 Dec 2010
Any Cat 3 (or higher) storm to make first US landfall in Florida
Average Global Temperature for 2010 to be the warmest on record
California marijuana legalization initiative to be passed in Nov 2010 ballot
Same sex marriages to resume in California before midnight ET 30 Jun 2011

Tuesday, September 14, 2010

Assignment 3 Number 3

See number 2 for the short comings and risks of how we reproduced the delphi method in class. :D

Assignment 3 Number 2

The greatest difference I noticed about how the delphi method was recreated in more formal settings vs. how we did it in class, was the use of anonymity for the first set of predictions. In class we each called out our predictions in turn allowing others to hear, and react to what was previously said. Allowing for the next student to possibly change their answer in fear of being too extreme. In a more formal setting the initial set of data is much more authentic and the delphi method becomes more efficient in predicting the unknown.